5 trillion yuan: grinding a sword for a decade of emerging energy (2)

The use of traditional energy upgrades will account for about 40% of the 5 trillion yuan investment. According to the scale of the smart grid investment of 40 billion to 50 billion yuan per year by the State Grid, the total investment in the smart grid of the South China Network in the next 10 years will be about 500 billion yuan. With regard to subsidies for power battery vehicles, the industry is forecasting an investment of 1 trillion yuan. In addition, investments in distributed energy and clean coal utilization are expected to reach a scale of about 500 billion yuan.

Jiang Bing disclosed that the plan has cumulatively increased investment by 5 trillion yuan, will increase the output value by 1.5 trillion yuan each year, and increase 15 million social jobs every year. After the implementation of the plan, the coal consumption will be greatly reduced by 2020. In the year, sulfur dioxide will reduce emissions by 7.8 million tons and reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 1.2 billion tons.

Structural adjustment speed

The introduction of new energy industry development plans, in the eyes of the industry, means that in the face of accelerating the transformation of economic development methods and energy-saving emission reduction background, China's new energy industry revolution has begun to accelerate.

Han Xiaoping, Chief Information Officer of China Energy Network, said in an interview with the publication that the launch of the new energy industry development plan will not only adjust China’s current energy structure, which mainly depends on coal and oil, but also make it possible to rebuild the energy system globally. This round of planning will focus on increasing the proportion of natural gas in the energy mix, changing China’s traditional industrial systems that rely on traditional energy such as coal and oil, and promoting industrial restructuring, which will become a new engine for stimulating China’s economic growth.

The initial name of the new energy industry planning was defined as the “New Energy Industry Planning”, and the scope was limited to new energy and renewable energy such as nuclear energy, wind energy, solar energy, and biomass energy. Later, through adjustments, the upgrading of the traditional energy industry such as smart grids and clean coal was incorporated into the plan, and it was renamed the emerging energy industry plan.

Analysts said that this adjustment reflects to some extent that in the course of energy structure adjustment, China will adopt the “two-handed” strategy of supporting emerging energy and promoting traditional energy reform.

Apart from investing in new and renewable energy industries, a large part of the 5 trillion yuan will be invested in the specific implementation areas of new energy and new technologies such as clean coal, smart grid, distributed energy, and new automotive energy. .

This part of investment will directly enhance traditional industries. For example, the construction of smart grids will indirectly drive the upgrading of traditional grids; the construction of UHV lines and the transformation of urban and rural grids will not only increase the boom of smart grid-related secondary equipment, but also drive the expansion of traditional primary equipment markets.

In the long run, the smart grid investment requires smart power generation, transmission, distribution, dispatching, and power system intelligence. It will soon lead to the intelligent construction of smart home appliances, smart buildings, smart communities, smart offices, and other areas. The intelligent home appliance market and real estate market are upgraded to stimulate the needs of the non-ferrous industry, construction materials and cement industry.

Similarly, a large amount of investment in automotive new energy industry is expected to eventually drive the automotive industry and battery industry into new development channels, which in turn will drive the development of the steel and chemical industries. The development of the clean coal industry is also expected to promote the traditional coal industry to achieve emission reductions and improve the utilization rate through technological breakthroughs.

In addition, there is a complementary relationship between the development of smart grids and distributed energy sources. The smart grid requires the grid to be able to accept more and more distributed and renewable energy sources. In addition to the new energy mentioned above, the scope of distributed energy includes traditional clean energy such as hydropower, which in turn will drive expansion of the market for related equipment for hydropower development, and will also expand. Demand for cement and building materials.

According to authoritative sources from the National Energy Administration, among the 5 trillion yuan in investment, investments in new and renewable energy industries may include technology research and development, pilot demonstrations, industrialization operations, and large-scale promotion of various sub-sectors.

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