Beijing car purchase shake number to apply for next month or break millions
Yesterday, the Beijing Municipal Passenger Car Index Management Office announced the results of the second round of small passenger car applications. The results showed that, as of yesterday, there were 939,715 applications for minibus indicators. Among them, there are 851,622 for the first round of this year's No. 1 lottery code, automatically rolled into the current round of Yao pool, which also means that this round of Yaohao added 88,093 applicants.
Since the first round of minivans was revamped in Beijing in January last year, the number of minibus indicator applicants has continued to increase. The data shows that at least 50,000 new applicants will be added every month. In the first few months, the number of new applicants per month exceeded 100,000.
"According to this growth rate, it is likely that the number of applicants will exceed 1 million when the next round of Yaohao." Xu Fengxian, a researcher at the Institute of Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, predicts.
With the increase in the number of Yaohao applicants, the difficulty of signing the minibus index is also increasing. Since the first round of Yaobao was conducted in Beijing in January last year, the percentage of winning in the previous July has continued to decline. The data shows that the proportion of the individual passenger car indicators in the previous July was 10.6:1, 16.6:1, 22.6:1, 27:1, 30.3:1, 32.8:1, and 34.9:1, respectively.
However, due to the fact that in January last year, the unsigned car index automatically rolled into the "Yao Yaochi", so the probability of a sharp rebound in August last year, the data shows that in August last year, the proportion of winning was 34.3:1, winning the difficulty slightly lower than July . Due to the continuous increase in the number of applicants, this trend did not last long. In September of last year and January of this year, the percentages of winning were: 35.7:1, 37:1, 39:1, 40.8:1, 43.1:1. From the data point of view, the difficulty of winning the lottery index of the minibus is still getting more and more. Big.
Will the growing number of applicants lead to an increasingly large number of "Waveboxes" and increase the difficulty of the Yaohao operation? At the end of last year, at the end of last year, the Beijing Passenger Car Regulatory Management Office stated that since the beginning of this year, the effective storage period of minibus code is 3 months, which means that individual applicants can automatically participate in the continuous participation since the date of the audit. 3 shakes, expired not required to reconfirm the application.
Since August last year, the index of unsigned cars has been automatically rolled into the next round of “Shaken Pool.†Beijing has publicly solicited opinions on whether to penalize this group of people. However, no corresponding policies have been issued so far.
In this regard, Xu Fengxian analyzed that if you do not standardize and restrict those who do not sign the car, you may allow some of the petitioners to repeatedly participate in the shake. This will disrupt the normal Yaohao order.
However, Wei Aimin, an attorney of Beijing Modern Law Firm, said that there is no basis for penalties for those who don’t purchase cars, and once they are penalized, they may cause some of the successful bidders to purchase cars for car purchases, and there will be a concentrated upsurge of car buying. Violation of the original intention of the Yaohao. "You can consider to impose appropriate restrictions on those who do not buy cars, but they should not be subjected to particularly severe punishment." Wei Aimin said.
According to regulations, the relevant departments will review the application information, the results of the audit and the number of indicators for the month will be announced in Beijing on February 25 to ease the congestion website, and a shake will be held on the 26th. On the 25th before the Yaohao, the Beijing Passenger Car Index Regulatory and Management Office will also announce the re-entering of the “Shaken Pool†of the abandoned purchase index, and the proportion of the current round of rounding will be formally announced.
Since the first round of minivans was revamped in Beijing in January last year, the number of minibus indicator applicants has continued to increase. The data shows that at least 50,000 new applicants will be added every month. In the first few months, the number of new applicants per month exceeded 100,000.
"According to this growth rate, it is likely that the number of applicants will exceed 1 million when the next round of Yaohao." Xu Fengxian, a researcher at the Institute of Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, predicts.
With the increase in the number of Yaohao applicants, the difficulty of signing the minibus index is also increasing. Since the first round of Yaobao was conducted in Beijing in January last year, the percentage of winning in the previous July has continued to decline. The data shows that the proportion of the individual passenger car indicators in the previous July was 10.6:1, 16.6:1, 22.6:1, 27:1, 30.3:1, 32.8:1, and 34.9:1, respectively.
However, due to the fact that in January last year, the unsigned car index automatically rolled into the "Yao Yaochi", so the probability of a sharp rebound in August last year, the data shows that in August last year, the proportion of winning was 34.3:1, winning the difficulty slightly lower than July . Due to the continuous increase in the number of applicants, this trend did not last long. In September of last year and January of this year, the percentages of winning were: 35.7:1, 37:1, 39:1, 40.8:1, 43.1:1. From the data point of view, the difficulty of winning the lottery index of the minibus is still getting more and more. Big.
Will the growing number of applicants lead to an increasingly large number of "Waveboxes" and increase the difficulty of the Yaohao operation? At the end of last year, at the end of last year, the Beijing Passenger Car Regulatory Management Office stated that since the beginning of this year, the effective storage period of minibus code is 3 months, which means that individual applicants can automatically participate in the continuous participation since the date of the audit. 3 shakes, expired not required to reconfirm the application.
Since August last year, the index of unsigned cars has been automatically rolled into the next round of “Shaken Pool.†Beijing has publicly solicited opinions on whether to penalize this group of people. However, no corresponding policies have been issued so far.
In this regard, Xu Fengxian analyzed that if you do not standardize and restrict those who do not sign the car, you may allow some of the petitioners to repeatedly participate in the shake. This will disrupt the normal Yaohao order.
However, Wei Aimin, an attorney of Beijing Modern Law Firm, said that there is no basis for penalties for those who don’t purchase cars, and once they are penalized, they may cause some of the successful bidders to purchase cars for car purchases, and there will be a concentrated upsurge of car buying. Violation of the original intention of the Yaohao. "You can consider to impose appropriate restrictions on those who do not buy cars, but they should not be subjected to particularly severe punishment." Wei Aimin said.
According to regulations, the relevant departments will review the application information, the results of the audit and the number of indicators for the month will be announced in Beijing on February 25 to ease the congestion website, and a shake will be held on the 26th. On the 25th before the Yaohao, the Beijing Passenger Car Index Regulatory and Management Office will also announce the re-entering of the “Shaken Pool†of the abandoned purchase index, and the proportion of the current round of rounding will be formally announced.
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