Coal Chemical Industry Risk Increases Urgently Needs Overall Planning
According to statistics, since 2005, up to 27 large-scale coal chemical projects have been submitted to the Ministry of Environmental Protection for review and approval, with a total investment of about 300 billion yuan. Entering the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€, the development momentum of the coal chemical industry has further increased, and 37 coal chemical projects have been listed in the “National Coal Deep Processing Demonstration Project Plan†of the National Development and Reform Commission. The total investment is expected to reach 700 billion yuan.
With the high price of international oil and natural gas prices fluctuating, the modern coal chemical industry has become a hot area for capital chase in recent years. State-owned assets, private capital, and foreign capital have all entered the coal chemical industry, and the industrial risks have continuously increased. How to speed up the industrial layout and promote the healthy development of the coal chemical industry has become the focus of attention in the industry.
Various sources of capital compete for each other's news from the coal chemical industry, indicating that the coal chemical industry is becoming a “blue ocean†where capital competitions are pursued.
Of these, the strongest momentum is the state-owned capital represented by the central SOEs. The main representatives of such enterprises are Shenhua, Datang, China Coal, China Power Investment and other large-scale central enterprises, as well as Shandong Yankuang, Henan Coal, Shanxi Panan and other strong local state-owned enterprises. They have advantages in terms of resources, funds, regional location, and policy support, and they are also the main force in the current coal chemical industry.
Followed by private capital. It is difficult to count the number of private enterprises involved in the coal chemical industry. Among them are the Inner Mongolia Yitai, Erdos Huieng, and Xinjiang Qinghua. In particular, in mid-March 2011, major private enterprise giants such as Inner Mongolia Yili, China Panhai, Dalian Wanda, Sichuan Hongda, Zhejiang Chuanhua and Shanghai Junyao announced high-profile announcements that the formation of a joint investment company will enter the coal chemical industry.
At the same time, many multinational corporations in the energy and chemical fields also turned their attention to the domestic coal fired chemical industry. For example, companies such as Dow Chemical, Sasol and Total announced that their preparatory work for related projects has basically entered the decision-making stage; and international giants such as Shell and GE have stated that they are seeking suitable opportunities for coal chemical industry. These companies, without exception, all have more or less of the upstream or downstream technologies of coal chemical industry, and all look at China's huge market.
Affected by this, the domestic petrochemical giants Sinopec, CNOOC, and Yanchang Group have also extended their tentacles to the coal chemical industry due to limited oil resources. With their technological, talented and market advantages in the chemical industry, they are becoming strong competitors in the future market.
Among these, the most eye-catching is Lenovo. The Chinese and even the world's largest IT department also announced that it has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the government of Zaozhuang, Shandong Province, and will invest 18 billion yuan in two phases to build a coal chemical industry with a million tons of olefins and fine chemicals. base.
The current high temperature situation has caused all parties to pay attention to the high temperature situation in the coal chemical industry in China, which has caused great concern among industry experts and relevant state agencies. After detailed investigations, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Circular on Regulating the Orderly Development of the Coal Chemical Industry†on March 23 this year. The circular emphasized the importance attached to the related issues brought about by the blind development of coal chemical industry. According to analysis, there are four main issues.
First of all, because some regions blindly started coal chemical projects, the results not only caused a large number of redundant construction, but also increased industrial risks. Some projects cannot be produced normally after they are completed, and equipment is idle. At present, the national methanol plant operating rate is only about 50%, and the DME plant is also largely idle. Other projects do not calculate the full cost of coal resources, do not implement the responsibility for energy saving and emission reduction, and do not analyze the entire process of coal conversion efficiency; there are even The company occupies coal resources under the pretext of developing coal chemical industry.
Secondly, the blind construction and excessive development of coal chemical industry not only exacerbates the contradiction between supply and demand of coal, but also directly affects the total control of energy consumption in the country. According to incomplete statistics, at present, the newly added coal used in the construction and approved coal chemical projects in the country has exceeded 100 million tons, and the planned total new coal use for the project is still several hundred million tons. Of particular concern is the fact that some net coal-transferring regions are still actively developing the coal chemical industry, given the tight coal supply of existing thermal power plants.
Third, coal chemical industry is a high-energy-consuming and high-emissions industry. Due to technological constraints, the energy conversion efficiency of coal in the overall industrial chain is not high, and both energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission intensity are higher than the national average by more than 10 times. The disorderly development of coal chemical industry will inevitably directly affect the realization of energy saving and emission reduction targets.
Fourth, most of the coal chemical industry is a high-water-consuming product, and the disorderly development of the industry has caused an imbalance in the supply and demand of regional water resources. China's coal resources and water resources are in reverse distribution, mainly in water shortage areas. However, some regions blindly develop coal chemical industry regardless of water supply constraints; some enterprises emphasize economic efficiency one-sidedly, have little awareness of water conservation, continue to use high-water-consuming technical equipment, and severely waste water resources, which will cause regional water balance and ecological environmental protection. Incalculable consequences.
Overall planning to grasp the rhythm of China to develop modern coal chemical industry, development to a large scale is appropriate, has always been a controversial topic. Some experts said that the general direction of the development of coal chemical industry is correct, it is a general trend; at the same time, coal chemical industry can not be disorderly development, we must make overall plans to grasp the pace of development.
From the perspective of direction, with the advent of the era of high international oil prices, the modern coal chemical industry already has a strong competitiveness in terms of economy. The natural endowment of China's fossil fuel “multi-coal, low-gas, and lean oil†objectively obliges China to pay attention to the efficient and clean use of coal resources. In the western regions where coal resources are relatively abundant, the transformation of resource advantages into economic advantages is as soon as possible. The only way for social and economic development. In particular, with the advancement of science and technology, the successful construction and operation of a number of demonstration projects at home and abroad represented by the Shenhua Group's coal-to-oil project has enabled the development of modern coal chemical industry to have a relatively reliable technical foundation.
It is precisely because of this that the national “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†outline clearly states that the two resources at home and abroad should be planned as a whole. While scientifically developing petrochemicals, it is necessary to rationally develop and utilize valuable coal resources, and to adopt high efficiency, low emissions, and clean processing and conversion. The use of modern coal chemical industry development.
It is understood that the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are accelerating the organization of the "Coal Deep Processing Demonstration Project Plan" and "Coal Chemical Industry Policy." This policy will be of great significance to the orderly and healthy development of China's coal chemical industry.
According to the news from the National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration, from the perspective of the convergence of the national economic and social development master plan and related industrial planning, during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, China's coal chemical industry will make overall planning and strict industrial access standards. Specifically, it is necessary to balance the supply and demand of coal and the protection of water resources, and to achieve coordinated development with coal, electricity, petrochemical, and other industries. In particular, we must organize the implementation of "upgrading demonstration projects", and "in principle, a corporate commitment A demonstration project" explores and develops scientific and efficient coal chemical technology, and cultivates market players with intellectual property rights and competitiveness.
With the high price of international oil and natural gas prices fluctuating, the modern coal chemical industry has become a hot area for capital chase in recent years. State-owned assets, private capital, and foreign capital have all entered the coal chemical industry, and the industrial risks have continuously increased. How to speed up the industrial layout and promote the healthy development of the coal chemical industry has become the focus of attention in the industry.
Various sources of capital compete for each other's news from the coal chemical industry, indicating that the coal chemical industry is becoming a “blue ocean†where capital competitions are pursued.
Of these, the strongest momentum is the state-owned capital represented by the central SOEs. The main representatives of such enterprises are Shenhua, Datang, China Coal, China Power Investment and other large-scale central enterprises, as well as Shandong Yankuang, Henan Coal, Shanxi Panan and other strong local state-owned enterprises. They have advantages in terms of resources, funds, regional location, and policy support, and they are also the main force in the current coal chemical industry.
Followed by private capital. It is difficult to count the number of private enterprises involved in the coal chemical industry. Among them are the Inner Mongolia Yitai, Erdos Huieng, and Xinjiang Qinghua. In particular, in mid-March 2011, major private enterprise giants such as Inner Mongolia Yili, China Panhai, Dalian Wanda, Sichuan Hongda, Zhejiang Chuanhua and Shanghai Junyao announced high-profile announcements that the formation of a joint investment company will enter the coal chemical industry.
At the same time, many multinational corporations in the energy and chemical fields also turned their attention to the domestic coal fired chemical industry. For example, companies such as Dow Chemical, Sasol and Total announced that their preparatory work for related projects has basically entered the decision-making stage; and international giants such as Shell and GE have stated that they are seeking suitable opportunities for coal chemical industry. These companies, without exception, all have more or less of the upstream or downstream technologies of coal chemical industry, and all look at China's huge market.
Affected by this, the domestic petrochemical giants Sinopec, CNOOC, and Yanchang Group have also extended their tentacles to the coal chemical industry due to limited oil resources. With their technological, talented and market advantages in the chemical industry, they are becoming strong competitors in the future market.
Among these, the most eye-catching is Lenovo. The Chinese and even the world's largest IT department also announced that it has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the government of Zaozhuang, Shandong Province, and will invest 18 billion yuan in two phases to build a coal chemical industry with a million tons of olefins and fine chemicals. base.
The current high temperature situation has caused all parties to pay attention to the high temperature situation in the coal chemical industry in China, which has caused great concern among industry experts and relevant state agencies. After detailed investigations, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Circular on Regulating the Orderly Development of the Coal Chemical Industry†on March 23 this year. The circular emphasized the importance attached to the related issues brought about by the blind development of coal chemical industry. According to analysis, there are four main issues.
First of all, because some regions blindly started coal chemical projects, the results not only caused a large number of redundant construction, but also increased industrial risks. Some projects cannot be produced normally after they are completed, and equipment is idle. At present, the national methanol plant operating rate is only about 50%, and the DME plant is also largely idle. Other projects do not calculate the full cost of coal resources, do not implement the responsibility for energy saving and emission reduction, and do not analyze the entire process of coal conversion efficiency; there are even The company occupies coal resources under the pretext of developing coal chemical industry.
Secondly, the blind construction and excessive development of coal chemical industry not only exacerbates the contradiction between supply and demand of coal, but also directly affects the total control of energy consumption in the country. According to incomplete statistics, at present, the newly added coal used in the construction and approved coal chemical projects in the country has exceeded 100 million tons, and the planned total new coal use for the project is still several hundred million tons. Of particular concern is the fact that some net coal-transferring regions are still actively developing the coal chemical industry, given the tight coal supply of existing thermal power plants.
Third, coal chemical industry is a high-energy-consuming and high-emissions industry. Due to technological constraints, the energy conversion efficiency of coal in the overall industrial chain is not high, and both energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission intensity are higher than the national average by more than 10 times. The disorderly development of coal chemical industry will inevitably directly affect the realization of energy saving and emission reduction targets.
Fourth, most of the coal chemical industry is a high-water-consuming product, and the disorderly development of the industry has caused an imbalance in the supply and demand of regional water resources. China's coal resources and water resources are in reverse distribution, mainly in water shortage areas. However, some regions blindly develop coal chemical industry regardless of water supply constraints; some enterprises emphasize economic efficiency one-sidedly, have little awareness of water conservation, continue to use high-water-consuming technical equipment, and severely waste water resources, which will cause regional water balance and ecological environmental protection. Incalculable consequences.
Overall planning to grasp the rhythm of China to develop modern coal chemical industry, development to a large scale is appropriate, has always been a controversial topic. Some experts said that the general direction of the development of coal chemical industry is correct, it is a general trend; at the same time, coal chemical industry can not be disorderly development, we must make overall plans to grasp the pace of development.
From the perspective of direction, with the advent of the era of high international oil prices, the modern coal chemical industry already has a strong competitiveness in terms of economy. The natural endowment of China's fossil fuel “multi-coal, low-gas, and lean oil†objectively obliges China to pay attention to the efficient and clean use of coal resources. In the western regions where coal resources are relatively abundant, the transformation of resource advantages into economic advantages is as soon as possible. The only way for social and economic development. In particular, with the advancement of science and technology, the successful construction and operation of a number of demonstration projects at home and abroad represented by the Shenhua Group's coal-to-oil project has enabled the development of modern coal chemical industry to have a relatively reliable technical foundation.
It is precisely because of this that the national “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†outline clearly states that the two resources at home and abroad should be planned as a whole. While scientifically developing petrochemicals, it is necessary to rationally develop and utilize valuable coal resources, and to adopt high efficiency, low emissions, and clean processing and conversion. The use of modern coal chemical industry development.
It is understood that the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are accelerating the organization of the "Coal Deep Processing Demonstration Project Plan" and "Coal Chemical Industry Policy." This policy will be of great significance to the orderly and healthy development of China's coal chemical industry.
According to the news from the National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration, from the perspective of the convergence of the national economic and social development master plan and related industrial planning, during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, China's coal chemical industry will make overall planning and strict industrial access standards. Specifically, it is necessary to balance the supply and demand of coal and the protection of water resources, and to achieve coordinated development with coal, electricity, petrochemical, and other industries. In particular, we must organize the implementation of "upgrading demonstration projects", and "in principle, a corporate commitment A demonstration project" explores and develops scientific and efficient coal chemical technology, and cultivates market players with intellectual property rights and competitiveness.
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