· September 93 gasoline may rise 0.27 yuan / liter oil price or increase
From August 10, the domestic oil product price adjustment has just passed less than a week, and the signal of the second increase in oil prices has once again appeared frequently. According to institutional monitoring, the average price change rate of crude oil in the three places has reached 1.7%. According to the current international oil price trend and the rising speed, the oil price change rate at the end of the month will break the 4% red line. There is no suspense in the price adjustment in early September. The industry believes that each ton or another 350 yuan, which means that the majority of car owners will add 93 # gasoline, may need to add more than 0.27 yuan / liter.
The rise is difficult to prevent the rate of change of crude oil in the three places to expand to +1.70%
On August 10, the first rise in refined oil after the "three consecutive losses", Xi'an 93 gasoline rose from 6.87 yuan per liter to 7.18 yuan; 90# gasoline rose from 6.48 yuan per liter to 6.77 yuan; 97# gasoline from per liter 7.26 yuan rose to 7.59 yuan. As the price of refined oil products has been adjusted, the weighted average rate of change of crude oil in the three places has entered a new round of calculation cycle. According to the monitoring data of the information agencies, as of August 14, the average price of crude oil in Brent, Dubai and Xinta was US$111.948/barrel, which was much higher than the benchmark price of US$104.51/barrel. The rate of change of crude oil in the three places expanded to +1.70. %, up 0.54% from the previous day.
The reporter learned that at the beginning of the month, the market for gasoline and diesel in the northwest market fluctuated very little. On the second working day of the oil price increase, the main market in Xi'an adjusted the price again, and the range was small. The gasoline and diesel oil price rose by about 50 yuan/ton, and the price of Sinopec gasoline and diesel was quoted. Rising, 93# gasoline mainstream shipping price is 9122 yuan / ton, 0 # diesel 7995 yuan / ton.
In the first ten days of September, the fuel may be more than 0.27 yuan / liter as a "barometer" for the price adjustment of refined oil. This fluctuation in international oil prices has caused widespread concern among market participants. "If the average price of crude oil in the three places maintains the current price, the rate of change of crude oil in the three regions will continue to rise. The fastest red line will be broken on August 23, and the new round of upward adjustment is expected to increase. According to this calculation, 9 On the 7th of the month, when the 22 working days are met, the rate of change of the three places will rise to 6.5% to 7%, and the price adjustment window will be opened again." Some institutional researchers analyzed it. For the increase in oil prices, an industry insider who did not want to be named predicted that "the increase rate is 350 yuan / ton, which is converted, 93 # gasoline rose 0.27 yuan / liter, 0 # diesel rose 0.30 yuan / liter, but the preconditions Yes, after the next 7 working days, the rate of change in the three places is breaking 4, and the price adjustment window should be around September 10."
Citizens worry about increasing transportation costs. People's livelihood products are taking advantage of the high price of oil. For the daily life of residents, the most direct is that private car owners are less fuel-efficient, and the public is worried that the related industry chain is increasing due to transportation costs. The price of daily necessities raised. "After the oil price increase in September, it will be equal to returning to the previous high oil price era. The prices in the third and fourth quarters will not fall, and the transportation costs of food, such as vegetable price, egg price and fruit price. With the increase, the retail price will definitely rise." Mr. Guo thinks so. Pushing up the price of refined oil will inevitably affect the terminal basic industry and increase the expenses of oil companies and consumers. In an interview with the media, Zhuo Chuang analysts said that the proportion of refined oil products in the CPI is about 0.2%, but in terms of cost transmission, there is a certain proportion of fuel consumption in food, tobacco, alcohol, clothing and other aspects. On the whole, the price of refined oil is raised by about 400 yuan/ton, and the pulling effect on CPI is much higher than 0.011 percentage point.
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